Track record · closed signal

Range Resources Corp (RRC) — closed signal from May 22, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 20, 2026 — -0.7% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

RRC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$39.29 – $41.28Entry zone — fair-value band

$40.94Published — price the day we called it

$45.33Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$41.34Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$40.67Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 9% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close

-0.7%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+1%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+2.5%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$40.67

last close inside the window, ended August 20, 2026

Peak price

$41.34

peak on August 20, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published May 22, 2026

Predicted growth

+11%

over the measurement window

Target price

$45.33

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$39.29 – $41.28

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$40.94

published May 22, 2026

Confidence

68%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Range Resources is positioned to benefit if natural gas prices keep rising. Recent higher gas futures and a quarterly beat give a plausible reason for near-term upside. Cash on hand is limited and insiders have sold shares, which raises risk. There are signs more traders are buying than usual, making the short-term setup worth watching.

Primary drivers

Natural gas price rebound is the main driver for growth
Quarterly results showed stronger sales and profits
Valuation is low versus peers, improving risk/reward
Limited cash and insider selling increase downside risk

How it played out

RRC: the 11% thesis did not play out

Lyra published RRC at $40.94 on May 22, with expected growth of 11% and a $45.33 target. The thesis pointed to a rebound in natural gas prices, stronger quarterly sales and profits, and a low valuation versus peers. It also noted limited cash and insider selling as downside risks.

RRC peaked at $41.34 on August 20, a gain of 1%. It never reached the target. The stock ended the window at $40.67. The expected near term rise did not occur, so the thesis missed.

What happened during the window

On May 29, Range declared a quarterly dividend of $0.10 per share, payable June 26. On July 21, the company reported second quarter cash flow from operating activities of $235 million and share repurchases of $78 million.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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