Track record · closed signal

Old National Bancorp (ONB) — closed signal from May 22, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 20, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

ONB price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$23.82 Published $26.27 Target $25.83 Window close $27.36 Peak
$22.72 – $23.96Entry zone — fair-value band
$23.82Published — price the day we called it
$26.27Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$27.36Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$25.83Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 41 days.

Peak price
$27.36
peak on August 4, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+14.9%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$25.83
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
41
Window
May 22, 2026 – August 20, 2026

The thesis — published May 22, 2026

Predicted growth
+11%
over the measurement window
Target price
$26.27
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$22.72 – $23.96
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$23.82
published May 22, 2026
Confidence
69%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

ONB looks like a relatively stable regional bank: profits, margins, share price level, and the dividend fit the risks of the banking cycle. New dividend news makes the income case clearer even without a big positive event. Trading activity is weak and recent price momentum is negative, so near-term timing is cautious. Overall, the story rests on income and steady performance rather than strong buying pressure.

Primary drivers

  • Dividend news increases clarity on shareholder payouts
  • Valuation stays modest for a regional bank
  • Consistent profits suggest resilience through credit cycles
  • Light trading and weak short-term momentum raise timing risk

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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