Track record · closed signal

Opera Ltd (OPRA) — closed signal from May 22, 2026

Near target Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 20, 2026 — +4.2% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

OPRA price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$16.36 – $17.56Entry zone — fair-value band

$17.56Published — price the day we called it

$20.67Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$20.78Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$18.29Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Near target

Came within reach: 92% of the predicted growth at its peak, just short of the target.

At window close

+4.2%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+18.3%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+2.5%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$18.29

last close inside the window, ended August 20, 2026

Peak price

$20.78

peak on August 5, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published May 22, 2026

Predicted growth

+20%

over the measurement window

Target price

$20.67

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$16.36 – $17.56

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$17.56

published May 22, 2026

Confidence

73%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Opera is a small internet company with strong cash, steady profits, and a business that makes money from browsers and ads. The recent quarter showed growth in sales, profit, and users, which supports the story. Trading is very thin and price momentum is weak, so gains look possible but execution is risky in the short term.

Primary drivers

Quarterly results showed browser ad and search gains
Strong cash position gives financial flexibility
Dividend helps return money to shareholders
AI browsing and ad tools could add future revenue

How it played out

OPRA: price target reached, expected growth missed

Lyra published OPRA at $17.56 with expected growth of 20% and a $20.67 target. The thesis pointed to browser advertising and search gains, steady profits and strong cash. It also cited the dividend and possible future revenue from new browsing and advertising tools. Thin trading and weak price momentum were the stated short-term risks.

The price peaked at $20.78 on August 5, above the target. The recorded peak gain was 18.3%, short of the expected 20%. OPRA ended the window at $18.29. The thesis partially played out: the price reached the target, but the expected growth did not hold through the end.

What happened during the window

On July 14, Opera reported that second-quarter mobile users grew 66% in the UK and 40% in the US from a year earlier. On August 19, the company reported second-quarter revenue of $178.1 million and raised its full-year revenue guidance to $734 million to $742 million.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All OPRA signals