Track record · closed signal

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) — closed signal from May 20, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 18, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

NVDA price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$222.19 Published $262.18 Target $219.74 Window close $232.01 Peak
$215.00 – $225.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$222.19Published — price the day we called it
$262.18Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$232.01Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$219.74Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 24% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$232.01
peak on June 2, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+4.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$219.74
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
May 20, 2026 – August 18, 2026

The thesis — published May 20, 2026

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$262.18
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$215.00 – $225.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$222.19
published May 20, 2026
Confidence
72%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Nvidia is the top leader for AI computing, selling chips and systems that companies need for big AI projects. Sales and profits are strong, but investors expect a lot from upcoming results, so the stock can swing more on news than steady progress. Momentum looks healthy, so this is a close-term watch opportunity after a sharp sector rally.

Primary drivers

  • Strong demand for AI computing drives sales growth
  • Leading data-center products justify a premium valuation
  • Upcoming quarterly report is a major event and risk
  • Positive price trend is tempered by lofty expectations

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All NVDA signals