Track record · closed signal

SouthState Corporation (SSB) — closed signal from May 20, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 18, 2026 — +19.2% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

SSB price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$92.32 Published $105.52 Target $110.09 Window close $112.20 Peak
$88.91 – $93.35Entry zone — fair-value band
$92.32Published — price the day we called it
$105.52Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$112.20Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$110.09Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 65 days.

At window close
+19.2%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+21.5%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+3.8%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$110.09
last close inside the window, ended August 18, 2026
Peak price
$112.20
peak on August 17, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
65

The thesis — published May 20, 2026

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$105.52
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$88.91 – $93.35
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$92.32
published May 20, 2026
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

SouthState looks like a selective chance to benefit if regional banks rebound. The company shows steady profits, consistent earnings results and a stronger balance sheet than many peers. Recent results were mixed-earnings beat but sales and interest income fell-which explains the pullback. Low trading activity and broader banking-cycle risk mean the view is cautious over the next 0-3 months.

Primary drivers

  • Relatively low price gives room for a rebound
  • Stronger balance sheet versus many regional peers
  • Consistent earnings performance supports stability
  • Declines in sales and interest income reduce conviction

How it played out

SSB: target reached in 65 days

Lyra published SSB at $92.32 with an expected gain of 15% over the short term. The thesis pointed to room for a regional-bank rebound, a stronger balance sheet than many peers, and consistent earnings. It also noted weaker sales and interest income, low trading activity, and broader banking-cycle risk.

The shares reached the $105.52 target in 65 days. They later peaked at $112.20 on August 17, a gain of 21.5%, and ended the window at $110.09. The price cleared the target and remained above it at the end. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On July 23, 2026, SouthState reported second-quarter diluted earnings per share of $2.35 and net income of $230 million. It also raised its quarterly cash dividend from $0.60 to $0.66 per share.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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