Track record · closed signal

AstraZeneca PLC (AZN) — closed signal from May 20, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 18, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

AZN price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$186.60 Published $213.18 Target $160.10 Window close $195.12 Peak
$181.59 – $187.51Entry zone — fair-value band
$186.60Published — price the day we called it
$213.18Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$195.12Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$160.10Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 31% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$195.12
peak on July 2, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+4.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$160.10
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
May 20, 2026 – August 18, 2026

The thesis — published May 20, 2026

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$213.18
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$181.59 – $187.51
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$186.60
published May 20, 2026
Confidence
76%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

AstraZeneca gives a defensive holding in health care with clear, company-specific regulatory wins. Recent U.S. approvals for label expansions and a new drug strengthen the near-term story and give concrete events to watch. The price is steady near short-term support, and low sensitivity to market swings helps offset riskier tech positions over the next 0-3 months.

Primary drivers

  • Recent approvals improve near-term outlook and news flow
  • Enhertu label expansion supports oncology revenue growth
  • Lower sensitivity to market moves provides defensive balance
  • Price action is steadier than higher-volatility technology stocks

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.