Track record · closed signal

Mastercard Inc (MA) — closed signal from May 19, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 17, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

MA price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$507.21 Published $583.29 Target $562.26 Window close $583.71 Peak
$495.00 – $512.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$507.21Published — price the day we called it
$583.29Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$583.71Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$562.26Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 76 days.

Peak price
$583.71
peak on August 3, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+15.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$562.26
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
76
Window
May 19, 2026 – August 17, 2026

The thesis — published May 19, 2026

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$583.29
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$495.00 – $512.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$507.21
published May 19, 2026
Confidence
75%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Mastercard runs a global payments system that reliably earns high profits. Digital and cross-border spending help growth, and recent crypto partnerships and financial-inclusion recognition add extra possibilities without changing the main story. Short-term price momentum is weak, so upside is limited near term. Consumer spending swings are the key risk.

Primary drivers

  • Global payments network benefits as more purchases go digital
  • High profit margins support steady, repeatable earnings
  • Crypto partner program gives optional growth outside core payments
  • Business quality looks stronger than many consumer financial firms

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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