Track record · closed signal

IAMGold Corporation (IAG) — closed signal from May 18, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 16, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

IAG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$17.47 Published $20.96 Target $18.30 Window close $18.92 Peak
$16.80 – $17.70Entry zone — fair-value band
$17.47Published — price the day we called it
$20.96Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$18.92Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$18.30Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 42% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$18.92
peak on June 17, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+8.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$18.30
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
May 18, 2026 – August 16, 2026

The thesis — published May 18, 2026

Predicted growth
+20%
over the measurement window
Target price
$20.96
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$16.80 – $17.70
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$17.47
published May 18, 2026
Confidence
69%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

IAMGold offers a way to benefit if gold prices rise, and a recent share buyback plus a new strategy leader give a clear near-term reason for value to improve. Valuation and earnings trends look supportive for a miner, but market interest has faded and insiders are not acting supportive, so the opportunity is appealing but less evenly supported than some peers; gold prices remain the biggest swing factor.

Primary drivers

  • Exposure to gold provides a defensive boost during cycles
  • Share buyback highlights returning cash to owners
  • New leadership may improve strategy execution
  • Price looks reasonable versus recent earnings trends

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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