Track record · closed signal

Old National Bancorp (ONB) — closed signal from May 18, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 16, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

ONB price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$23.46 Published $26.58 Target $27.17 Window close $27.36 Peak
$22.48 – $23.46Entry zone — fair-value band
$23.46Published — price the day we called it
$26.58Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$27.36Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$27.17Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 59 days.

Peak price
$27.36
peak on August 4, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+16.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$27.17
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
59
Window
May 18, 2026 – August 16, 2026

The thesis — published May 18, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$26.58
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$22.48 – $23.46
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$23.46
published May 18, 2026
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Old National looks like a cleaner choice among regional banks because its stock price is not expensive, its earnings are more steady, and the company recently announced a dividend that gives some clarity on returns. If the regional-bank group calms down, ONB could benefit, but risks around loan quality, deposit costs and low trading volume keep confidence deliberately limited.

Primary drivers

  • Stock price looks relatively fair after recent weakness
  • Dividend announcement gives clearer returns to shareholders
  • Steady earnings make results more predictable
  • High short interest could increase upside if sentiment improves

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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