Track record · closed signal

Trade Desk Inc (TTD) — closed signal from May 17, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 15, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

TTD price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$21.15 Published $23.48 Target $14.14 Window close $23.57 Peak
$20.00 – $21.75Entry zone — fair-value band
$21.15Published — price the day we called it
$23.48Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$23.57Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$14.14Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 15 days.

Peak price
$23.57
peak on June 1, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+11.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$14.14
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
15
Window
May 17, 2026 – August 15, 2026

The thesis — published May 17, 2026

Predicted growth
+11%
over the measurement window
Target price
$23.48
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$20.00 – $21.75
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$21.15
published May 17, 2026
Confidence
65%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Post-earnings showed strong sales but weaker future guidance and an earnings miss. The founder buying shares is a positive sign and the company's connected-TV product and solid balance sheet help cushion risk. Still, recent selling pressure and sensitivity to ad-market swings mean the rebound is fragile until price action steadies.

Primary drivers

  • Founder buying shares shows insider support
  • Connected-TV product stays strategically important
  • Strong balance sheet helps weather volatility
  • Weak future guidance makes recovery fragile

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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