Track record · closed signal

Bank of America Corp (BAC) — closed signal from May 16, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 14, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

BAC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$49.51 Published $54.18 Target $64.49 Window close $65.20 Peak
$47.51 – $50.47Entry zone — fair-value band
$49.51Published — price the day we called it
$54.18Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$65.20Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$64.49Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 24 days.

Peak price
$65.20
peak on August 13, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+31.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$64.49
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
24
Window
May 16, 2026 – August 14, 2026

The thesis — published May 16, 2026

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$54.18
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$47.51 – $50.47
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$49.51
published May 16, 2026
Confidence
62%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Bank of America looks like a beaten-down big bank that still delivers profits and is priced reasonably. Recent headlines reflect investors shifting money among big banks rather than new, strong news for this company. Interest-rate swings and insider selling make this a cautious, lower-conviction rebound idea for the next few months.

Primary drivers

  • Big size helps earnings stay steady during stress
  • Price pullback creates potential for a rebound move
  • Recent investor rotation shows sensitivity to fund flows
  • Insider selling and weak company-specific news limit confidence

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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