Track record · closed signal

Celsius Holdings Inc (CELH) — closed signal from May 16, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 14, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

CELH price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$30.16 Published $34.38 Target $29.09 Window close $34.19 Peak
$28.50 – $31.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$30.16Published — price the day we called it
$34.38Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$34.19Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$29.09Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price
$34.19
peak on July 6, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+13.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$29.09
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
May 16, 2026 – August 14, 2026

The thesis — published May 16, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$34.38
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$28.50 – $31.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$30.16
published May 16, 2026
Confidence
64%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Celsius showed very strong sales growth and good cash flow, but recent reports revealed shrinking profit margins and the stock dropped on that news. The brand can still expand into more stores and channels, so sales momentum could lift the stock in the next few months, yet valuation and existing debt keep overall conviction cautious.

Primary drivers

  • Quarterly sales more than doubled compared to last year, backing growth
  • Solid free cash flow gives confidence in underlying earnings
  • Recent margin weakness raises concern about execution and costs
  • Valuation for consumer names needs clearer follow-through to sustain gains

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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