Track record · closed signal

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) — closed signal from May 16, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 14, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

PLTR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$133.99 Published $158.11 Target $174.04 Window close $180.18 Peak
$128.00 – $136.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$133.99Published — price the day we called it
$158.11Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$180.18Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$174.04Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 16 days.

Peak price
$180.18
peak on August 14, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+34.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$174.04
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
16
Window
May 16, 2026 – August 14, 2026

The thesis — published May 16, 2026

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$158.11
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$128.00 – $136.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$133.99
published May 16, 2026
Confidence
69%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Palantir showed stronger Q1 results and raised revenue guidance for 2026, keeping it positioned as an AI-focused software company. A healthy balance sheet and steady demand from government and businesses support potential upside. However, high valuation, insider selling, and recent profit-taking in AI stocks make this a cautious recovery setup for the next 0-3 months.

Primary drivers

  • Q1 update and higher 2026 guidance reinforce AI demand story
  • Healthy balance sheet reduces short-term financial risk
  • Government and commercial use remain main growth drivers
  • High valuation and AI-sector selling constrain conviction

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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