Track record · closed signal

Old National Bancorp (ONB) — closed signal from May 16, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 14, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

ONB price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$23.15 Published $25.77 Target $27.17 Window close $27.36 Peak
$22.43 – $23.12Entry zone — fair-value band
$23.15Published — price the day we called it
$25.77Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$27.36Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$27.17Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 40 days.

Peak price
$27.36
peak on August 4, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+18.2%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$27.17
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
40
Window
May 16, 2026 – August 14, 2026

The thesis — published May 16, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$25.77
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$22.43 – $23.12
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$23.15
published May 16, 2026
Confidence
68%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Old National looks like a careful rebound play: steady profit performance, a valuation that isn't stretched, and a dividend that provides income support. Recent announcements help sentiment but do not change the growth story. Loan, deposit, and interest-rate pressures for regional banks keep the outlook cautious for the next quarter.

Primary drivers

  • A quarterly dividend provides steady income support
  • Reliable earnings make a cautious rebound plausible
  • Regional focus gives targeted exposure to local banking
  • Credit and deposit pressures keep growth expectations measured

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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