Track record · closed signal

Jack Henry & Associates Inc (JKHY) — closed signal from May 15, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 13, 2026 — +13.6% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

JKHY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$137.20 Published $154.34 Target $155.86 Window close $162.96 Peak
$130.82 – $138.75Entry zone — fair-value band
$137.20Published — price the day we called it
$154.34Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$162.96Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$155.86Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 63 days.

At window close
+13.6%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+18.8%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+5.5%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$155.86
last close inside the window, ended August 13, 2026
Peak price
$162.96
peak on July 29, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
63

The thesis — published May 15, 2026

Predicted growth
+13%
over the measurement window
Target price
$154.34
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$130.82 – $138.75
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$137.20
published May 15, 2026
Confidence
71%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Jack Henry sells software and services to community banks and credit unions, which gives it steady recurring cash. Recent results beat expectations, the company increased its share buyback and kept the dividend. The stock has pulled back short-term, so a modest rebound over the next few months is plausible, but weak trading volume and cautious bank IT sentiment make the setup conservative.

Primary drivers

  • Banks need ongoing tech, which supports predictable sales
  • Bigger buyback gives extra support to the stock
  • Kept dividend adds stability in weaker markets
  • Earnings beat shows execution is holding up

How it played out

JKHY: target reached in 63 days

Lyra published JKHY at $137.20 with an expected short-term gain of 13% and a target of $154.34. The thesis pointed to recurring demand from banks, a larger share buyback, the maintained dividend, and an earnings beat. It also noted weak trading volume and cautious bank technology spending.

JKHY reached the target in 63 days. The stock rose as high as $162.96 on July 29, a peak gain of 18.8%. It ended the window at $155.86, still above the target. The published price thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On July 30, Jack Henry announced that MCBANK had selected its technology platform and services. On August 11, the company reported fiscal fourth-quarter deconversion revenue of $9.3 million and fiscal-year deconversion revenue of $42.8 million.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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