Track record · closed signal

SouthState Corporation (SSB) — closed signal from May 15, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 13, 2026 — +20.1% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

SSB price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$92.32 Published $103.69 Target $110.91 Window close $111.74 Peak
$88.91 – $92.86Entry zone — fair-value band
$92.32Published — price the day we called it
$103.69Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$111.74Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$110.91Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 70 days.

At window close
+20.1%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+21%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+5.5%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$110.91
last close inside the window, ended August 13, 2026
Peak price
$111.74
peak on August 13, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
70

The thesis — published May 15, 2026

Predicted growth
+13%
over the measurement window
Target price
$103.69
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$88.91 – $92.86
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$92.32
published May 15, 2026
Confidence
74%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

SouthState looks like a selective recovery candidate among regional banks. Latest results showed profit beating expectations but sales were lower and interest income dropped, while loan demand appears to be picking up. The bank looks cheap and has solid liquidity, but low trading activity and sensitivity to interest rates make the short-term outlook cautious.

Primary drivers

  • Growing loan pipeline could help lift margins over time
  • Profit beat shows management can control costs despite sales miss
  • Stronger liquidity than many peers reduces short-term funding risk
  • Rising deposit costs are the main near-term pressure to monitor

How it played out

SSB: target reached in 70 days and exceeded

Lyra published SSB at $92.32 as a selective short-term recovery thesis with 13% expected growth. The thesis pointed to a growing loan pipeline, cost control, solid liquidity and rising deposit costs as the main pressure.

The shares reached the $103.69 target in 70 days. They peaked at $111.74 on August 13, a 21% gain, and ended the window at $110.91. The price thesis played out and exceeded its target. The data did not establish which cited drivers caused the move.

What happened during the window

On July 23, 2026, SouthState reported second-quarter results, including loan growth, a stable net interest margin, unchanged deposit costs and improved efficiency. It also announced a higher quarterly cash dividend.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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