Charles Schwab Corp (SCHW) — closed signal from May 15, 2026
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 13, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
SCHW price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$88.48 – $92.46Entry zone — fair-value band
$91.22Published — price the day we called it
$106.42Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$109.88Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$109.74Window close — end-of-window price, context only
What happened
Target reached
Reached its target in 82 days.
Peak price
$109.88
peak on August 13, 2026 — not a realized returnPeak gain
+20.5%
peak, from the publication priceWindow close
$109.74
end-of-window price, context onlyDays to target
82
Window
May 15, 2026 – August 13, 2026
The thesis — published May 15, 2026
Predicted growth
+17%
over the measurement windowTarget price
$106.42
the price the thesis aimed forEntry zone
$88.48 – $92.46
the fair-value band we waited forPrice at publication
$91.22
published May 15, 2026Confidence
84%
how strongly the data lined upTimeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)
Schwab has clear short-term reasons to do better: recent guidance shows higher expected revenue, client assets and trading hit records, and the firm added direct crypto trading to make more fees. The company's strong balance sheet helps handle market swings. Still, insider selling and sensitivity of interest income to rates limit confidence for the next 0-3 months.
Primary drivers
- New guidance points to higher future revenue than expected
- Record client assets and trading boost momentum
- Adding direct crypto trading widens fee income sources
- Big cash and deposits help absorb market swings
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
Lyra
Read the next call before it closes.
This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.