Track record · closed signal

Charles Schwab Corp (SCHW) — closed signal from May 15, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 13, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

SCHW price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$91.22 Published $106.42 Target $109.74 Window close $109.88 Peak
$88.48 – $92.46Entry zone — fair-value band
$91.22Published — price the day we called it
$106.42Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$109.88Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$109.74Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 82 days.

Peak price
$109.88
peak on August 13, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+20.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$109.74
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
82
Window
May 15, 2026 – August 13, 2026

The thesis — published May 15, 2026

Predicted growth
+17%
over the measurement window
Target price
$106.42
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$88.48 – $92.46
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$91.22
published May 15, 2026
Confidence
84%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Schwab has clear short-term reasons to do better: recent guidance shows higher expected revenue, client assets and trading hit records, and the firm added direct crypto trading to make more fees. The company's strong balance sheet helps handle market swings. Still, insider selling and sensitivity of interest income to rates limit confidence for the next 0-3 months.

Primary drivers

  • New guidance points to higher future revenue than expected
  • Record client assets and trading boost momentum
  • Adding direct crypto trading widens fee income sources
  • Big cash and deposits help absorb market swings

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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