Track record · closed signal

Mastercard Inc (MA) — closed signal from May 15, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 13, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

MA price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$500.94 Published $571.07 Target $567.04 Window close $583.71 Peak
$490.00 – $505.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$500.94Published — price the day we called it
$571.07Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$583.71Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$567.04Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 76 days.

Peak price
$583.71
peak on August 3, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+16.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$567.04
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
76
Window
May 15, 2026 – August 13, 2026

The thesis — published May 15, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$571.07
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$490.00 – $505.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$500.94
published May 15, 2026
Confidence
80%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Mastercard looks like a solid rebound pick after recent weakness. The PhotonPay AI payment demo adds a clear story about smarter payments, and valuation checks suggest expectations are more reasonable now. The company's global payment flows and extra services keep fees steady. Short-term momentum is still negative, so upside depends on stabilization.

Primary drivers

  • PhotonPay demo highlights smarter payments and new product interest
  • Large global payments network keeps revenue steady through cycles
  • Extra services (cross-border, data) help sustain fee growth
  • Recent pullback makes entry prices more balanced versus risk

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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