Old National Bancorp (ONB) — closed signal from May 14, 2026
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 12, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
ONB price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$22.48 – $23.71Entry zone — fair-value band
$23.59Published — price the day we called it
$25.79Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$27.36Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$27.08Window close — end-of-window price, context only
What happened
Target reached
Reached its target in 42 days.
Peak price
$27.36
peak on August 4, 2026 — not a realized returnPeak gain
+16%
peak, from the publication priceWindow close
$27.08
end-of-window price, context onlyDays to target
42
Window
May 14, 2026 – August 12, 2026
The thesis — published May 14, 2026
Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement windowTarget price
$25.79
the price the thesis aimed forEntry zone
$22.48 – $23.71
the fair-value band we waited forPrice at publication
$23.59
published May 14, 2026Confidence
68%
how strongly the data lined upTimeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)
Old National shows steady profits and a fair price, but recent updates mainly confirm continuity (dividend and brand deal) rather than spark big change. The share price looks short-term beaten down versus its recent trend, yet sensitivity to interest rates and heavier short positions make the near-term outlook cautious rather than optimistic.
Primary drivers
- Reliable profit delivery supports confidence in the bank
- Regular dividend news shows steady capital returns
- Valuation appears reasonable versus rate-driven volatility
- Regional deposit mix spreads risk across Midwestern markets
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
Lyra
Read the next call before it closes.
This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.