Track record · closed signal

Range Resources Corp (RRC) — closed signal from May 13, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 11, 2026 — +0.3% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

RRC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$40.57 Published $46.13 Target $40.67 Window close $43.20 Peak
$38.79 – $41.28Entry zone — fair-value band
$40.57Published — price the day we called it
$46.13Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$43.20Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$40.67Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 46% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close
+0.3%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+6.5%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+4.1%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$40.67
last close inside the window, ended August 11, 2026
Peak price
$43.20
peak on May 19, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
—

The thesis — published May 13, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$46.13
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$38.79 – $41.28
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$40.57
published May 13, 2026
Confidence
71%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Range Resources looks like a disciplined energy company that has beaten profit expectations several times and trades at a low valuation. A recent upgrade tied to higher earnings estimates gives a short-term reason for interest. The stock is recovering from selling, but thin trading, debt levels and sensitivity to gas prices keep the near-term case cautious.

Primary drivers

  • Upgrade after earnings revisions gives short-term momentum
  • Consistent earnings beats show operational credibility
  • Low valuation creates some downside protection
  • Exposure to gas prices and debt are main risks to watch

How it played out

RRC: shares rose, but the target was missed

Lyra published RRC at $40.57 with a 14% expected gain and a $46.13 target. The thesis pointed to repeated profit beats, a recent upgrade tied to higher earnings estimates, and a low valuation. It also cited debt and exposure to gas prices as near-term risks.

RRC rose to $43.20 on May 19, a 6.5% peak gain, but never reached the $46.13 target during the window. It ended at $40.67 on August 11, close to the published price and below the target. The thesis partially played out because the stock rose, but the expected 14% gain did not arrive.

What happened during the window

On July 21, 2026, Range reported second-quarter cash flow from operating activities of $235 million and average production of 2.30 Bcfe per day.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All RRC signals