Track record · closed signal

CoreCivic Inc (CXW) — closed signal from May 13, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 11, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

CXW price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$19.92 Published $23.51 Target $33.92 Window close $34.86 Peak
$19.00 – $20.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$19.92Published — price the day we called it
$23.51Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$34.86Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$33.92Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 26 days.

Peak price
$34.86
peak on August 10, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+75%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$33.92
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
26
Window
May 13, 2026 – August 11, 2026

The thesis — published May 13, 2026

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$23.51
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$19.00 – $20.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$19.92
published May 13, 2026
Confidence
68%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Recent company updates show strong quarterly results, more revenue from ICE-related contracts, and management raising profit guidance tied to growth efforts. The price is low enough to attract event-driven investors, but important risks include government policy changes, significant debt, and light trading. Short-term setup depends on guidance and contract news proving reliable.

Primary drivers

  • Recent results and guidance support credibility of growth
  • ICE contract demand is a near-term growth trigger
  • Higher profit guidance improves financial visibility
  • Government policy, debt, and thin trading are key risks

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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