Track record · closed signal

Mastercard Inc (MA) — closed signal from May 12, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 10, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

MA price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$502.96 Published $593.49 Target $563.17 Window close $583.71 Peak
$490.00 – $510.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$502.96Published — price the day we called it
$593.49Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$583.71Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$563.17Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price
$583.71
peak on August 3, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+16.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$563.17
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
May 12, 2026 – August 10, 2026

The thesis — published May 12, 2026

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$593.49
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$490.00 – $510.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$502.96
published May 12, 2026
Confidence
78%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Mastercard has steady payment activity, strong profit margins and a track record of predictable earnings. New services and a finance deal in Latin America help the network grow into new revenue streams. The stock sits near $500 and is not extended, but recent trading momentum and light volume mean the setup looks cautious rather than aggressive. Consumer spending and regulatory issues are the main risks.

Primary drivers

  • Large global payments network that drives steady transactions
  • New services that add different revenue sources
  • Latin America finance deal opens more customers and partners
  • High margins and reliable earnings history provide stability

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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