Track record · closed signal

Agree Realty Corporation (ADC) — closed signal from May 12, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 10, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

ADC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$75.65 Published $81.60 Target $74.14 Window close $81.52 Peak
$72.47 – $75.40Entry zone — fair-value band
$75.65Published — price the day we called it
$81.60Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$81.52Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$74.14Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price
$81.52
peak on July 29, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+7.8%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$74.14
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
May 12, 2026 – August 10, 2026

The thesis — published May 12, 2026

Predicted growth
+9%
over the measurement window
Target price
$81.60
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$72.47 – $75.40
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$75.65
published May 12, 2026
Confidence
66%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Agree Realty is a conservative idea: steady income from long-term leased retail properties, plus insider buying and a dividend make it defensive. A new share-selling program can finance purchases but may dilute holders. Price momentum is weak; the stock sits near its recent trend. Upside is expected to be modest.

Primary drivers

  • Freestanding leased retail properties give steady rent and defensive income exposure
  • Insider buying signals confidence from company insiders in the business
  • New share program can supply cash to buy properties and grow externally
  • Issuing shares can dilute existing holders and limit near-term upside

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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