Track record · closed signal

Charles Schwab Corp (SCHW) — closed signal from May 12, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 10, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

SCHW price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$87.77 Published $104.45 Target $107.99 Window close $109.32 Peak
$84.00 – $89.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$87.77Published — price the day we called it
$104.45Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$109.32Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$107.99Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 70 days.

Peak price
$109.32
peak on August 10, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+24.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$107.99
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
70
Window
May 12, 2026 – August 10, 2026

The thesis — published May 12, 2026

Predicted growth
+19%
over the measurement window
Target price
$104.45
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$84.00 – $89.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$87.77
published May 12, 2026
Confidence
73%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Schwab looks positioned for a financial-sector comeback: sales and earnings have been solid, the stock trades at a reasonable price, and the company's finances are healthier than many peers that are sensitive to interest rates. Visible product lineup and ETF strength keep the business relevant, though lower crypto fees and recent insider sales justify caution. The key is whether customer money flows stabilize.

Primary drivers

  • Large, diversified brokerage and wealth business
  • Consistent earnings and a reasonable valuation
  • Relatively strong balance sheet among peers
  • Price looks pulled back, needs asset-flow improvement

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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