Track record · closed signal

Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) — closed signal from August 10, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 8, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

AVGO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$303.87 Published $378.46 Target $348.76 Window close $385.74 Peak
$297.83 – $303.79Entry zone — fair-value band
$303.87Published — price the day we called it
$378.46Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$385.74Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$348.76Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 80 days.

Peak price
$385.74
peak on October 29, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+26.9%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$348.76
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
80
Window
August 10, 2025 – November 8, 2025

The thesis — published August 10, 2025

Predicted growth
+25%
over the measurement window
Target price
$378.46
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$297.83 – $303.79
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$303.87
published August 10, 2025
Confidence
78%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Broadcom builds the chips and software that power AI and large-scale data work. Recent reports say its AI sales jumped sharply, and Apple plans a huge US investment that includes working with Broadcom. That points to strong demand and steady orders. Lots more people are buying than usual, and the overall market mood looks supportive. While the stock is not cheap, buying near the stated range and adding on proven strength could capture the next leg up.

Primary drivers

  • AI sales were up 220% in the latest quarter, signaling powerful demand ahead
  • Apple plans a massive US spend; partnership could steer more orders to Broadcom
  • Price trend and investor mood are positive, bringing in more buyers than usual
  • Buy on dips as AI demand expands over time, aiming to benefit from the upswing

How it played out

AVGO: target reached in 80 days

Lyra published AVGO at 303.87 with a short-term target of 378.46 and expected growth of 25%. The thesis pointed to artificial intelligence sales up 220%, possible orders tied to Apple plans, a positive price trend, and stronger-than-usual buying interest. It framed the setup as demand-driven, but still noted that the stock was not cheap.

Inside the window, AVGO reached 385.74 on 2025-10-29, above the target. The peak gain was 26.9%, and the target was reached in 80 days. The stock ended the window at 348.76, below the target but still above the publication price. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On September 4, 2025, Broadcom reported fiscal third-quarter revenue of $15.95 billion and adjusted earnings of $1.69 per share. It also said artificial intelligence revenue was $5.2 billion and guided fourth-quarter revenue to $17.4 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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