Track record · closed signal

GE Aerospace (GE) — closed signal from May 11, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 9, 2026 — +24.5% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

GE price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$297.16 Published $338.76 Target $370.08 Window close $388.84 Peak
$292.00 – $300.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$297.16Published — price the day we called it
$338.76Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$388.84Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$370.08Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 35 days.

At window close
+24.5%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+30.9%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+4.9%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$370.08
last close inside the window, ended August 9, 2026
Peak price
$388.84
peak on August 6, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
35

The thesis — published May 11, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$338.76
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$292.00 – $300.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$297.16
published May 11, 2026
Confidence
77%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

GE Aerospace looks like a steady industrial business because it keeps beating earnings expectations and aviation demand is solid. Recent Pentagon-related stories put attention on its propulsion and materials work, though no direct contract was announced. Recent price strength near its trend is a plus, but the stock is relatively expensive and trading activity is light.

Primary drivers

  • Consistent earnings results show operational reliability
  • Steady aviation demand supports sales and aftermarket work
  • Pentagon coverage highlights propulsion and materials capabilities
  • High valuation means less margin for execution mistakes

How it played out

GE: target reached in 35 days

On May 11, Lyra published a short-term thesis at 297.15, expecting 14% growth. The thesis pointed to consistent earnings results, steady aviation demand, Pentagon coverage of propulsion and materials capabilities, and recent price strength. It also noted that the valuation was high and trading activity was light.

The target of 338.76 was reached in 35 days. GE later peaked at 388.84 on August 6, a 30.9% gain, and ended the window at 370.08. The thesis played out and exceeded its published target within the measurement window.

What happened during the window

On July 16, 2026, GE Aerospace reported second-quarter orders of $16.5 billion and revenue of $13.3 billion. On July 24, it reported record engine demand from the Farnborough International Airshow.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.