Track record · closed signal

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) — closed signal from May 11, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 9, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

NVDA price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$219.51 Published $250.24 Target $223.96 Window close $236.54 Peak
$205.00 – $216.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$219.51Published — price the day we called it
$250.24Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$236.54Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$223.96Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 56% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$236.54
peak on May 14, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+7.8%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$223.96
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
May 11, 2026 – August 9, 2026

The thesis — published May 11, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$250.24
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$205.00 – $216.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$219.51
published May 11, 2026
Confidence
73%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

NVIDIA leads in the computing and infrastructure that powers AI, and that demand is still the main story. After a big price run, the near-term trade looks tactical rather than a clear long-term entry. Momentum is positive, but high valuation and recent volatile price moves make a pullback more likely than a steady climb right now.

Primary drivers

  • Strong demand for AI computing and data-center gear
  • Cloud deal news strengthens the ecosystem and sales pipeline
  • A solid balance sheet helps the company handle market swings
  • High recent gains increase the chance of a short-term pullback

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All NVDA signals