Track record · closed signal

Valley National Bancorp (VLY) — closed signal from May 11, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 9, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

VLY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$13.33 Published $14.95 Target $14.55 Window close $15.20 Peak
$12.81 – $13.30Entry zone — fair-value band
$13.33Published — price the day we called it
$14.95Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$15.20Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$14.55Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 66 days.

Peak price
$15.20
peak on July 16, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+14%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$14.55
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
66
Window
May 11, 2026 – August 9, 2026

The thesis — published May 11, 2026

Predicted growth
+13%
over the measurement window
Target price
$14.95
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$12.81 – $13.30
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$13.33
published May 11, 2026
Confidence
74%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Valley National looks like a possible regional-bank rebound: deposits are sounding healthier, the bank is spending on tech to run more efficiently, earnings are steady, and insiders are buying shares. Trading activity hasn't clearly turned up, so credit issues and sensitivity to interest rates are the main short-term risks for the next 0-3 months.

Primary drivers

  • Deposit updates suggest more stable funding for the bank
  • Technology spending could lower costs and lift profit margins
  • Insider buying aligns management with shareholders
  • Main risks are credit trends and sensitivity to interest rates

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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