Track record · closed signal

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc. (AUPH) — closed signal from May 10, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 8, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

AUPH price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$15.23 Published $17.06 Target $15.85 Window close $19.25 Peak
$14.50 – $15.40Entry zone — fair-value band
$15.23Published — price the day we called it
$17.06Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$19.25Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$15.85Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 43 days.

Peak price
$19.25
peak on June 24, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+26.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$15.85
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
43
Window
May 10, 2026 – August 8, 2026

The thesis — published May 10, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$17.06
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$14.50 – $15.40
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$15.23
published May 10, 2026
Confidence
74%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Aurinia looks like a value play: it has solid cash, company insiders buying, and recent results that help a rebound case. However, public news isn't focused on the company, which makes near-term confidence weaker. The short-term setup looks constructive if prescription and payment trends stay steady and price momentum steadies from support.

Primary drivers

  • Strong cash position lowers need for new funding
  • Insider buying signals confidence from management
  • Recent reported results support a recovery case
  • Oversold price action increases chance of a rebound

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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