Track record · closed signal

Valley National Bancorp (VLY) — closed signal from May 10, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 8, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

VLY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$13.31 Published $15.19 Target $14.55 Window close $15.20 Peak
$12.81 – $13.30Entry zone — fair-value band
$13.31Published — price the day we called it
$15.19Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$15.20Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$14.55Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price
$15.20
peak on July 16, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+14.2%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$14.55
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
May 10, 2026 – August 8, 2026

The thesis — published May 10, 2026

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$15.19
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$12.81 – $13.30
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$13.31
published May 10, 2026
Confidence
79%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Valley National looks like a rebound pick among regional banks because recent results showed deposit gains, higher interest income and an earnings beat. The share price is near short-term support and insiders have been active, which lends credibility. Ongoing risk comes from loan losses, deposit costs and commercial real estate exposure over the next few months.

Primary drivers

  • Stronger deposits and interest income support performance
  • Earnings came in above expectations, boosting credibility
  • Insider purchases give additional confidence in the plan
  • Price appears oversold, allowing possible rebound toward average levels

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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