Track record · closed signal

Valley National Bancorp (VLY) — closed signal from May 9, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 7, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

VLY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$13.31 Published $14.79 Target $14.55 Window close $15.20 Peak
$12.71 – $13.30Entry zone — fair-value band
$13.31Published — price the day we called it
$14.79Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$15.20Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$14.55Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 47 days.

Peak price
$15.20
peak on July 16, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+14.2%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$14.55
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
47
Window
May 9, 2026 – August 7, 2026

The thesis — published May 9, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$14.79
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$12.71 – $13.30
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$13.31
published May 9, 2026
Confidence
74%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Valley National looks positioned for a short-term regional-bank rebound. Recent quarterly results show stronger interest income, growing customer deposits and positive profit, while the stock is not priced richly and earnings have been steadier than many peers. Still, worries about credit, funding and commercial real estate could quickly change investor sentiment, so the outlook is guarded.

Primary drivers

  • Quarterly results showed stronger interest income and deposit growth
  • Stock valuation is modest relative to earnings performance
  • Company insiders' actions align with the recovery story
  • Credit, funding and commercial real estate risks keep caution warranted

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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