Track record · closed signal

Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd. (OR) — closed signal from May 9, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 7, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

OR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$38.35 Published $45.16 Target $33.08 Window close $40.45 Peak
$36.60 – $38.34Entry zone — fair-value band
$38.35Published — price the day we called it
$45.16Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$40.45Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$33.08Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 31% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$40.45
peak on May 11, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+5.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$33.08
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
May 9, 2026 – August 7, 2026

The thesis — published May 9, 2026

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$45.16
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$36.60 – $38.34
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$38.35
published May 9, 2026
Confidence
79%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Osisko collects payments from mines instead of running them, so it faces less operating risk. Recent quarterly news showed record royalty income, stronger cash flow and a bigger dividend. Shares sit near a reasonable support area. A weak gold market or persistent selling would weaken the case, but a solid balance sheet keeps things constructive.

Primary drivers

  • Gets cash from royalties, not running mines, so less operational risk
  • Quarterly results reported record royalty income
  • Dividend increase and better cash flow point to higher quality
  • Exposure to precious metals helps diversify riskier positions

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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