Track record · closed signal

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) — closed signal from May 9, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 7, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

NVDA price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$215.20 Published $245.33 Target $223.96 Window close $236.54 Peak
$205.00 – $215.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$215.20Published — price the day we called it
$245.33Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$236.54Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$223.96Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 71% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$236.54
peak on May 14, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+9.9%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$223.96
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
May 9, 2026 – August 7, 2026

The thesis — published May 9, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$245.33
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$205.00 – $215.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$215.20
published May 9, 2026
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

NVIDIA is still worth attention for the next few months because demand for its AI data-center products is very strong, profit margins are high, and the company has a solid balance sheet. Recent news focuses on the wider economy, not fresh company wins, and heavy investor interest raises the chance of sharp moves if anything disappoints.

Primary drivers

  • AI data-center demand is the main growth driver for revenue
  • High profits let the company command a valuation premium
  • Strong cash and low debt limit downside in downturns
  • Heavy investor interest and macro headlines reduce near-term conviction

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All NVDA signals