Track record · closed signal

Valley National Bancorp (VLY) — closed signal from May 8, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 6, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

VLY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$13.36 Published $15.12 Target $14.47 Window close $15.20 Peak
$12.81 – $13.49Entry zone — fair-value band
$13.36Published — price the day we called it
$15.12Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$15.20Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$14.47Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price
$15.20
peak on July 16, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+13.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$14.47
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
May 8, 2026 – August 6, 2026

The thesis — published May 8, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$15.12
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$12.81 – $13.49
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$13.36
published May 8, 2026
Confidence
77%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Valley National looks like a bank that could recover because deposits are growing, it's investing in technology and it just reported better-than-expected quarterly results. The stock still appears fairly priced, insiders are buying, and the dividend adds a defensive element. Near-term risks are credit and commercial property issues, so the 0-3 month outlook depends on steady funding costs and calmer investor appetite.

Primary drivers

  • Growing deposits help keep funding steady
  • Quarterly results beat expectations, showing execution
  • Insider buying suggests confidence in the bank
  • Valuation for regional banks still looks reasonable

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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