Track record · closed signal

Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd. (OR) — closed signal from May 8, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 6, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

OR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$38.13 Published $45.67 Target $32.15 Window close $40.45 Peak
$37.05 – $38.64Entry zone — fair-value band
$38.13Published — price the day we called it
$45.67Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$40.45Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$32.15Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 31% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$40.45
peak on May 11, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+6.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$32.15
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
May 8, 2026 – August 6, 2026

The thesis — published May 8, 2026

Predicted growth
+20%
over the measurement window
Target price
$45.67
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$37.05 – $38.64
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$38.13
published May 8, 2026
Confidence
82%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Osisko reported record sales and stronger cash coming in, and it raised its dividend. Because it earns money by holding royalty and streaming rights rather than running mines, it has less exposure to mining costs. With the gold link, it can help in volatile markets. Near-term momentum is soft, but continued cash-flow strength could lift its valuation in 0-3 months.

Primary drivers

  • Record sales and higher operating cash flow this quarter
  • Dividend increase supports the shareholder-return story
  • Royalty model reduces exposure to running mine costs
  • Gold-linked cash flow provides balance in volatile markets

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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