Track record · closed signal

GE Vernova LLC (GEV) — closed signal from May 7, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 5, 2026 — -6% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

GEV price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$1,083.34 Published $1,191.67 Target $1,017.96 Window close $1,195.94 Peak
$1,030.00 – $1,085.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$1,083.34Published — price the day we called it
$1,191.67Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$1,195.94Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$1,017.96Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 60 days.

At window close
-6%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+10.4%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+5.5%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$1,017.96
last close inside the window, ended August 5, 2026
Peak price
$1,195.94
peak on July 6, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
60

The thesis — published May 7, 2026

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$1,191.67
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$1,030.00 – $1,085.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$1,083.34
published May 7, 2026
Confidence
71%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

GE Vernova benefits from long-term trends in electricity, grid upgrades, and data-center power. Recent contract news in Egypt and Texas gives concrete reasons to watch growth. The company shows solid earnings progress and a healthy balance sheet, but recent weak buying momentum, low trading activity, and a strong prior run mean near-term upside looks limited.

Primary drivers

  • Steady demand from grid upgrades and power needs
  • Order news: Egypt turbine work and Texas hybrid project
  • Solid recent earnings and a strong balance sheet
  • Weak buying momentum and limited near-term upside

How it played out

GEV: target reached in 60 days

Lyra published GEV at 1083.34, expecting 10% growth toward 1191.67. The thesis pointed to steady demand from grid upgrades and power needs, order news in Egypt and Texas, solid earnings progress and a strong balance sheet. It also noted weak buying momentum and limited near-term upside.

Inside the window, GEV reached 1195.94 on 2026-07-06, a 10.4% peak gain. The target was reached in 60 days, so the published thesis played out. The stock later fell and ended the window at 1017.96, below the 1083.34 publication price. The target hit was real, but it did not hold through the end of the measurement period.

What happened during the window

On July 22, 2026, GE Vernova reported second-quarter orders of $24.2 billion and revenue of $11.1 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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