Track record · closed signal

McEwen Mining Inc. (MUX) — closed signal from May 7, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 5, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

MUX price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$25.39 Published $29.95 Target $19.71 Window close $26.44 Peak
$23.50 – $25.25Entry zone — fair-value band
$25.39Published — price the day we called it
$29.95Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$26.44Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$19.71Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 23% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$26.44
peak on May 7, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+4.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$19.71
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
May 7, 2026 – August 5, 2026

The thesis — published May 7, 2026

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$29.95
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$23.50 – $25.25
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$25.39
published May 7, 2026
Confidence
72%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

McEwen looks like an aggressive rebound idea: the company swung to profit in Q1, beat earnings expectations, and reported progress on joint ventures and internally funded projects. Cash levels are supportive and exposure to metals could magnify gains, but the stock moved up sharply and short-term momentum is uncertain, raising near-term risk.

Primary drivers

  • Company swung to profit in Q1 and reported stronger-than-expected earnings
  • Progress on joint ventures and plans to expand across multiple mines
  • Healthy cash balance compared with debt, easing near-term funding risk
  • Recent sharp price rise and industry volatility increase near-term risk

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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