Track record · closed signal

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) — closed signal from May 7, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 5, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

NVDA price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$208.04 Published $243.41 Target $219.22 Window close $236.54 Peak
$198.00 – $210.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$208.04Published — price the day we called it
$243.41Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$236.54Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$219.22Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price
$236.54
peak on May 14, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+13.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$219.22
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
May 7, 2026 – August 5, 2026

The thesis — published May 7, 2026

Predicted growth
+17%
over the measurement window
Target price
$243.41
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$198.00 – $210.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$208.04
published May 7, 2026
Confidence
76%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

NVIDIA is one of the main companies powering AI computing. Its sales and profits are growing fast, and it has high profit margins and lots of cash. Recent headlines about AI and data centers support demand. Still, recent price weakness and very high expectations mean it's safer to wait for a pullback or clear confirmation after earnings.

Primary drivers

  • Demand for AI data-center computing is the main growth driver
  • Strong profit margins and a healthy cash position support resilience
  • Industry news keeps confirming demand for advanced compute
  • Earnings timing and high valuation make near-term riskier

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All NVDA signals