Track record · closed signal

IAMGold Corporation (IAG) — closed signal from May 6, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 4, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

IAG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$18.61 Published $22.33 Target $14.80 Window close $19.59 Peak
$17.75 – $18.90Entry zone — fair-value band
$18.61Published — price the day we called it
$22.33Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$19.59Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$14.80Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 26% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$19.59
peak on May 11, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+5.2%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$14.80
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
May 6, 2026 – August 4, 2026

The thesis — published May 6, 2026

Predicted growth
+20%
over the measurement window
Target price
$22.33
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$17.75 – $18.90
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$18.61
published May 6, 2026
Confidence
73%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

The company reported strong quarterly sales and cash flow and benefits from rising gold prices, which supports near-term performance. However, recent trading patterns are weak, there are concerns about insider transactions, and the stock moves strongly with commodity swings, making the short-term setup aggressive.

Primary drivers

  • Quarterly results showed stronger operations and cash flow
  • Higher gold prices help the company generate cash
  • Progress on projects and governance improves credibility
  • Recent heavy selling makes a bounce possible if conditions improve

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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