Track record · closed signal

Compania de Minas Buenaventura SAA ADR (BVN) — closed signal from May 6, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 4, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

BVN price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$33.97 Published $39.07 Target $32.26 Window close $38.65 Peak
$32.50 – $34.25Entry zone — fair-value band
$33.97Published — price the day we called it
$39.07Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$38.65Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$32.26Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price
$38.65
peak on May 13, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+13.8%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$32.26
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
May 6, 2026 – August 4, 2026

The thesis — published May 6, 2026

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$39.07
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$32.50 – $34.25
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$33.97
published May 6, 2026
Confidence
78%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Buenaventura is included as a cleaner precious-metals pick for the next few months because its latest quarterly report showed record sales, solid profits, and a clear rise in gold output. The stock looks less speculative thanks to low valuation and good profit margins, but weak trading, Peru-related risks, and sensitivity to metal prices mean confidence is positive but cautious.

Primary drivers

  • Latest quarter delivered record sales and higher gold output, boosting earnings clarity
  • Cheap valuation and strong profit margins lower downside risk compared to peers
  • Exposure to precious metals can help balance more aggressive market leaders
  • Operations appear to be improving more than many other mining companies

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.