Track record · closed signal

SouthState Corporation (SSB) — closed signal from May 6, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 4, 2026 — +9.9% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

SSB price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$99.61 Published $113.56 Target $109.43 Window close $109.80 Peak
$96.00 – $101.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$99.61Published — price the day we called it
$113.56Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$109.80Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$109.43Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 73% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close
+9.9%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+10.2%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+5.4%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$109.43
last close inside the window, ended August 4, 2026
Peak price
$109.80
peak on August 4, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target

The thesis — published May 6, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$113.56
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$96.00 – $101.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$99.61
published May 6, 2026
Confidence
80%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

SouthState looks like a more stable regional bank for the next few months. The stock trades cheaply compared with peers, the bank has flexible capital and steady profits, and business drivers such as loan growth and fee income provide support. Recent results were mixed, so upside depends on overall banking sentiment improving.

Primary drivers

  • Cheap relative to peers, giving a valuation cushion
  • Steady profit performance over recent quarters
  • Stronger cash and liquidity compared with peers
  • Loan growth and fee income helped offset margin pressure

How it played out

SSB: the thesis partially played out

Lyra published a short-term thesis for 14% growth from $99.61. The thesis pointed to a cheap valuation relative to peers, steady profits, stronger cash and liquidity, and support from loan growth and fee income. It also noted mixed recent results and dependence on better banking sentiment.

Inside the window, SSB rose to a peak of $109.80 on August 4, a 10.2% gain. That stayed below the $113.56 target. The stock ended the window at $109.43. The price moved in the expected direction, but the published target was never reached. The thesis partially played out.

What happened during the window

On June 16, 2026, SouthState announced plans for its first full-service branch in St. Petersburg. On July 23, 2026, the company reported second-quarter results and increased its quarterly cash dividend.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.