Track record · closed signal

Frontline Ltd (FRO) — closed signal from May 5, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 3, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

FRO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$36.61 Published $38.58 Target $39.91 Window close $43.10 Peak
$33.52 – $35.35Entry zone — fair-value band
$36.61Published — price the day we called it
$38.58Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$43.10Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$39.91Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 44 days.

Peak price
$43.10
peak on June 24, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+17.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$39.91
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
44
Window
May 5, 2026 – August 3, 2026

The thesis — published May 5, 2026

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$38.58
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$33.52 – $35.35
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$36.61
published May 5, 2026
Confidence
64%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Frontline is a short-term, event-driven idea tied to tensions in the Middle East that can push tanker demand and freight prices higher. Shipping funds and investors are showing renewed interest, which can help rates. Offsets include sizable debt, inconsistent earnings, and limited upside, so the 0-3 month view is cautious and watchful.

Primary drivers

  • Regional tensions can raise demand for tanker ships
  • Investor interest in shipping can lift stock demand
  • Volatile energy markets can keep freight need high
  • Debt levels and uneven profits weaken conviction

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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