Track record · closed signal

First Majestic Silver Corp (AG) — closed signal from May 5, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 3, 2026 — -18.9% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

AG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$18.20 – $19.60Entry zone — fair-value band

$19.36Published — price the day we called it

$23.81Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$24.51Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$15.70Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 7 days.

At window close

-18.9%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+26.6%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+5%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$15.70

last close inside the window, ended August 3, 2026

Peak price

$24.51

peak on May 12, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published May 5, 2026

Predicted growth

+23%

over the measurement window

Target price

$23.81

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$18.20 – $19.60

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$19.36

published May 5, 2026

Confidence

73%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

First Majestic gives a clear way to benefit if silver prices rise, and its balance sheet looks stronger than many rivals. Recent company updates - better environmental progress, integrating Los Gatos, and friendlier industry headlines - have helped market mood. Production and costs are moving in a positive direction, but silver price swings and valuation mean the short-term view is cautious rather than full conviction.

Primary drivers

Exposure to silver with improving production and cost trends
Healthier balance sheet compared with many mining peers
Integration of Los Gatos should add scale and cost benefits
Sustainability news and industry coverage improved investor mood

How it played out

AG: target reached in 7 days

Lyra published AG at $19.36 with expected growth of 23% and a $23.81 target. The thesis pointed to silver exposure, improving production and cost trends, a healthier balance sheet than many peers, benefits from integrating Los Gatos, and better investor mood around sustainability news and industry coverage.

The price reached a window peak of $24.51 on May 12, a gain of 26.6%. It cleared the target in 7 days. The move then reversed, and AG ended the window at $15.70 on August 3. The thesis played out within the stated window, although the gain did not hold through the end.

What happened during the window

On May 12, First Majestic reported its first-quarter financial results and raised its quarterly dividend. On July 30, it reported second-quarter financial results and a quarterly dividend payment.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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