Track record · closed signal

Valley National Bancorp (VLY) — closed signal from May 5, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 3, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

VLY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$13.43 Published $15.06 Target $14.50 Window close $15.20 Peak
$12.81 – $13.40Entry zone — fair-value band
$13.43Published — price the day we called it
$15.06Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$15.20Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$14.50Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 72 days.

Peak price
$15.20
peak on July 16, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+13.2%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$14.50
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
72
Window
May 5, 2026 – August 3, 2026

The thesis — published May 5, 2026

Predicted growth
+13%
over the measurement window
Target price
$15.06
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$12.81 – $13.40
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$13.43
published May 5, 2026
Confidence
81%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Valley National looks stronger than many regional banks because recent results show better profit, rising deposits and steady core revenue. Q1 details point to higher net income, deposit gains and investment in technology while the valuation still looks fair. The stock has fallen more than its peers but is starting to stabilize, and insider buying provides extra support. Bank-sector risks remain.

Primary drivers

  • Steady profit improvements and better margins
  • Q1 showed clear deposit increases
  • Insiders buying shares, stronger than peers
  • Valuation allows room for a cautious rebound

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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