Track record · closed signal

AstraZeneca PLC (AZN) — closed signal from May 4, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 2, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

AZN price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$184.13 Published $209.90 Target $169.64 Window close $196.41 Peak
$180.00 – $186.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$184.13Published — price the day we called it
$209.90Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$196.41Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$169.64Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 48% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$196.41
peak on July 2, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+6.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$169.64
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
May 4, 2026 – August 2, 2026

The thesis — published May 4, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$209.90
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$180.00 – $186.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$184.13
published May 4, 2026
Confidence
75%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

AstraZeneca is a steady healthcare company that looks positioned to recover after a recent drop. Strong first-quarter results and slightly better guidance help, but split FDA panel votes for cancer drugs mean regulatory results could limit near-term gains. The company's wide mix of medicines makes it resilient; still, expected profit growth is only modest so the short-term case stays cautious.

Primary drivers

  • Better-than-expected Q1 results and raised guidance
  • Broad drug lineup provides steady revenue sources
  • Conflicting FDA panel votes raise approval and timing risk
  • Recent sell-off leaves scope for a recovery move

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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