Track record · closed signal

Agree Realty Corporation (ADC) — closed signal from May 4, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 2, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

ADC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$75.56 Published $80.76 Target $77.80 Window close $81.52 Peak
$72.47 – $75.40Entry zone — fair-value band
$75.56Published — price the day we called it
$80.76Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$81.52Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$77.80Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price
$81.52
peak on July 29, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+7.9%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$77.80
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
May 4, 2026 – August 2, 2026

The thesis — published May 4, 2026

Predicted growth
+8%
over the measurement window
Target price
$80.76
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$72.47 – $75.40
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$75.56
published May 4, 2026
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Agree Realty behaves like a defensive property company after a pullback tied to higher interest rates. A recent program to sell shares creates a clear risk of ownership dilution, but the company still collects rent from stable national and regional tenants and offers steady income. Insider buying is a small positive. Overall, the setup suggests a modest tactical upside over the next 0-3 months, constrained by dilution risk and sensitivity to interest rates.

Primary drivers

  • Owned retail properties provide steady rental income and low volatility
  • Insider buying signals confidence from people connected to the company
  • Plan to sell shares raises the chance of lower value per share
  • Recent oversold move makes a short-term bounce more likely

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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