Track record · closed signal

Range Resources Corporation (RRC) — closed signal from July 30, 2025

Near target Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 28, 2025 — +1.6% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

RRC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$34.45 – $35.24Entry zone — fair-value band

$36.31Published — price the day we called it

$40.46Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$39.86Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$36.88Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Near target

Came within reach: 82% of the predicted growth at its peak, just short of the target.

At window close

+1.6%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+9.8%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+8.6%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$36.88

last close inside the window, ended October 28, 2025

Peak price

$39.86

peak on October 2, 2025 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published July 30, 2025

Predicted growth

+12%

over the measurement window

Target price

$40.46

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$34.45 – $35.24

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$36.31

published July 30, 2025

Confidence

77%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Range Resources' share price has been moving in a tight range just below its June peak, even after Europe promised to buy more American natural gas. The recent average price near $35 has acted like a floor, showing many buyers step in there. The company reports results on 6 Aug, when it could say it plans to pump even more gas, and Washington may approve extra export permits. If gas prices stay solid, the stock could climb toward $41 over the next three months.

Primary drivers

Europe's $750B pledge to buy U.S. liquefied gas should keep demand strong for years.
RRC's low-cost wells mean higher cash flow every time gas prices edge up.
Aug 6 earnings may show more output without extra spending, boosting profits.
Quiet price action often leads to a sharp move; odds favor an upward swing.

How it played out

RRC: rose 9.8% but never reached the target

Lyra published RRC at $36.31 on 2025-07-30 with a short-term view for 12% growth toward $40.46. The thesis pointed to European demand for U.S. liquefied gas, low-cost wells, possible output growth around Aug 6 earnings, and quiet trading that could break upward.

Inside the window, RRC rose but stopped short. It peaked at $39.86 on 2025-10-02, a 9.8% gain, and stayed below the $40.46 target. By 2025-10-28 it ended at $36.88. The thesis partially played out, because the stock moved up, but it never got there.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All RRC signals