Track record · closed signal

Range Resources Corporation (RRC) — closed signal from July 30, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 28, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

RRC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$36.31 Published $40.46 Target $36.88 Window close $39.86 Peak
$34.45 – $35.24Entry zone — fair-value band
$36.31Published — price the day we called it
$40.46Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$39.86Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$36.88Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price
$39.86
peak on October 2, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+9.8%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$36.88
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
July 30, 2025 – October 28, 2025

The thesis — published July 30, 2025

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$40.46
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$34.45 – $35.24
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$36.31
published July 30, 2025
Confidence
77%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Range Resources' share price has been moving in a tight range just below its June peak, even after Europe promised to buy more American natural gas. The recent average price near $35 has acted like a floor, showing many buyers step in there. The company reports results on 6 Aug, when it could say it plans to pump even more gas, and Washington may approve extra export permits. If gas prices stay solid, the stock could climb toward $41 over the next three months.

Primary drivers

  • Europe's $750B pledge to buy U.S. liquefied gas should keep demand strong for years.
  • RRC's low-cost wells mean higher cash flow every time gas prices edge up.
  • Aug 6 earnings may show more output without extra spending, boosting profits.
  • Quiet price action often leads to a sharp move; odds favor an upward swing.

How it played out

RRC: rose 9.8% but never reached the target

Lyra published RRC at $36.31 on 2025-07-30 with a short-term view for 12% growth toward $40.46. The thesis pointed to European demand for U.S. liquefied gas, low-cost wells, possible output growth around Aug 6 earnings, and quiet trading that could break upward.

Inside the window, RRC rose but stopped short. It peaked at $39.86 on 2025-10-02, a 9.8% gain, and stayed below the $40.46 target. By 2025-10-28 it ended at $36.88. The thesis partially played out, because the stock moved up, but it never got there.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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