Track record · closed signal

Old National Bancorp (ONB) — closed signal from May 3, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 1, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

ONB price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$23.78 Published $26.07 Target $26.64 Window close $27.32 Peak
$22.64 – $23.81Entry zone — fair-value band
$23.78Published — price the day we called it
$26.07Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$27.32Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$26.64Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 59 days.

Peak price
$27.32
peak on July 16, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+14.9%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$26.64
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
59
Window
May 3, 2026 – August 1, 2026

The thesis — published May 3, 2026

Predicted growth
+11%
over the measurement window
Target price
$26.07
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$22.64 – $23.81
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$23.78
published May 3, 2026
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Old National looks like a steadier regional bank. Recent news shows loans growing, the bank getting more efficient, and support for returning capital to shareholders. Steady earnings and a fair price help balance risks tied to regional lending. Insider signals are weaker than peers, but trading activity is calmer and some upside is possible this quarter.

Primary drivers

  • Recent quarter showed stronger loan growth than before
  • Improving efficiency supports healthier bank profits
  • Repeated earnings beats show consistent execution
  • Regional loan risk keeps overall upside limited

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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