Track record · closed signal

Compania de Minas Buenaventura SAA ADR (BVN) — closed signal from May 3, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 1, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

BVN price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$32.44 Published $37.95 Target $30.28 Window close $38.65 Peak
$31.20 – $32.80Entry zone — fair-value band
$32.44Published — price the day we called it
$37.95Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$38.65Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$30.28Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 9 days.

Peak price
$38.65
peak on May 13, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+19.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$30.28
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
9
Window
May 3, 2026 – August 1, 2026

The thesis — published May 3, 2026

Predicted growth
+17%
over the measurement window
Target price
$37.95
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$31.20 – $32.80
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$32.44
published May 3, 2026
Confidence
75%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Buenaventura reported record quarterly sales and higher gold and silver output, plus permit progress on key projects. That gives clear reasons the stock could move higher, but recent selling pressure still dominates. The pullback looks like a healthy pause rather than collapse, yet short-term momentum could keep gains limited until stability appears.

Primary drivers

  • Quarter had record sales and stronger metal production
  • Permit approvals clarify timing for big projects
  • Valuation is low versus peers, making the dip less harsh
  • Selling pressure keeps the setup tactical until it calms

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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