Valley National Bancorp (VLY) — closed signal from May 3, 2026
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 1, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
VLY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$12.85 – $13.40Entry zone — fair-value band
$13.41Published — price the day we called it
$14.90Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$15.20Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$14.29Window close — end-of-window price, context only
What happened
Target reached
Reached its target in 74 days.
Peak price
$15.20
peak on July 16, 2026 — not a realized returnPeak gain
+13.4%
peak, from the publication priceWindow close
$14.29
end-of-window price, context onlyDays to target
74
Window
May 3, 2026 – August 1, 2026
The thesis — published May 3, 2026
Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement windowTarget price
$14.90
the price the thesis aimed forEntry zone
$12.85 – $13.40
the fair-value band we waited forPrice at publication
$13.41
published May 3, 2026Confidence
71%
how strongly the data lined upTimeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)
Valley National stands out among regional banks because recent results beat expectations, driven by stronger interest income, higher fees, and growth in core deposits. Insiders buying shares adds credibility, and the stock still looks reasonably priced. Price momentum is fragile, so upside is likely cautious and tied to holding recent support levels.
Primary drivers
- Earnings beat driven by stronger interest income
- Core deposit growth boosts bank stability and confidence
- Insider buying aligns management with shareholders
- Weak price momentum makes the rebound dependent on support
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
Lyra
Read the next call before it closes.
This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.