Track record · closed signal

Valley National Bancorp (VLY) — closed signal from May 3, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 1, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

VLY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$13.41 Published $14.90 Target $14.29 Window close $15.20 Peak
$12.85 – $13.40Entry zone — fair-value band
$13.41Published — price the day we called it
$14.90Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$15.20Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$14.29Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 74 days.

Peak price
$15.20
peak on July 16, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+13.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$14.29
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
74
Window
May 3, 2026 – August 1, 2026

The thesis — published May 3, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$14.90
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$12.85 – $13.40
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$13.41
published May 3, 2026
Confidence
71%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Valley National stands out among regional banks because recent results beat expectations, driven by stronger interest income, higher fees, and growth in core deposits. Insiders buying shares adds credibility, and the stock still looks reasonably priced. Price momentum is fragile, so upside is likely cautious and tied to holding recent support levels.

Primary drivers

  • Earnings beat driven by stronger interest income
  • Core deposit growth boosts bank stability and confidence
  • Insider buying aligns management with shareholders
  • Weak price momentum makes the rebound dependent on support

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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